Portfolio began 2011 @ $100,000; value as of 12/31/2021 $1.53 million
2021 +36%
2020 +40%
2019 +27%
2018 return 6%
2017 return 16.3%
2016 return: +32%
2015 return: +3.6%
2014 return +.02%;
2013 return: +61.78%;
2012 retun: +31%;
2011 return: +77%
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Recent Posts
- Protected: Weekend Update Part 3: A look at precious metals. And, what effect will the news out of China if true have on the market?
- Protected: Weekend Update 2: Hopium for the masses
- Protected: Weekend Update Part 1: The Impact of an Incompetent Fed
- Wharton Professor Jeremy Siegel’s Reaction to FOMC
- Protected: Update 2
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Trading Rules
Iwill be adding to this section over time as questions come up in the comments section.
1) Do not EMAIL me, or INSTANT MESSAGE me or try to communicate with me in any way asking questions about buying or selling stocks, options, ETFs or anything else…I am not here to give investment advice. This is an educational and entertainment blog. I post my trades and why I trade the way I do for those two purposes. Sometimes you will learn from my good trades other times from my bad trades. But, your investment decisions are YOURS!
2)Stops: These are based upon daily closing prices for ETFs and stock, but are real time for OPTIONS. If peg a stop to a moving average for a specific time frame, then it is fluid and is based upon the final candle for that time frame. For example, if the stop is the 50 MA on the 60 minute chart, then the position remains if the closing candle for the day on the 60 min chart is above the 50 MA on that chart, and it closes out if it is below the MA. However, there are times when one shouldn’t wait for the close: a) should an index break down below a key pivot area that I have highlighted, then one need not wait for the close to exit a position, b) if it is evident that an index will close on the wrong side of a stop, then one can exit. Or, should the indexes impulse in the direction opposite the position.
3) The Portfolio at times will trade against the Alphahorn Swing System, based upon either immediate term indicators and/or Elliott wave counts. These positions should be viewed as high risk entries and like all investment decisions, one should consult their investment advisors and/or consider one’s own risk tolerance before considering such positions. Like everything else on this site, these are not recommendations to trade any particular security.
4) Do not ask me what my indicators are. I’ve spent years developing them and they are proprietary.
5) Averaging Down: In a word – DON’T! NEVER EVER AVERAGE DOWN. If you follow the position sizing rule above then this rule should be implied automatically. Once you’ve invested 2% of you capital your have reached the limit and NO MORE CAPITAL IS TO BE COMMITTED TO THAT POSITION!
IMPORTANT NOTICE
The content on this blog (Alphahorn.wordpress.com) is provided as information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All site content, including advertisements, shall not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument, or to participate in any particular trading or investment strategy. The ideas expressed on this site are solely the opinions of the author (Alphahorn) and are for entertainment purposes only. Alphahorn is not a licensed investment advisor or commodity trading adviser nor is he licensed as such with any federal or state regulatory agency. Alphahorn does not manage client assets in any way. Any investment decision that results in losses or gains made based on any information on this site is not the responsibility of Alphahorn. Alphahorn may make statements about certain investment vehicles and strategies, but it is not to be taken as investment advice. I provide an educational service, not an advisory or stock recommendation service. At times, Alphahorn will analyze the technical structure (chart) of various stocks or financial markets, but he is in no way compensated by the companies he analyzes either in reports or daily commentaries. All examples are provided for educational purposes.- Follow Alphahorn's Market Musings on WordPress.com
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Wharton Professor Jeremy Siegel’s Reaction to FOMC
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Fidelity Paper on Bitcoin
Here’s a link to a paper Fidelity put out on BTC and its place vs other cryptos https://fidelityfda.prod.acquia-sites.com/sites/default/files/documents/bitcoin-first.pdf
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Alphahorn Subscription
I would like to say Thank You for an extraordinary call or the service as a whole via a “thank you tip”, your gratitude would be greatly appreciated and you can do so here: http://alphahorn.blogspot.com/. Click on the DONATE button up top and fill in any amount you see fit. Thanks.
Click on the link of your choice below or follow this link to the subscription page: http://alphahorn.blogspot.com/ where you can sign up. Sign up today!
Subscription Options are listed below, please note: These subscriptions AUTOMATICALLY RENEW, but lock in your rate and you will not be subject to price increases in the future unless you allow your subscription to lapse. Because it is a renewing subscription it is up to each subscriber to opt out via paypal should they choose to terminate their subscription. This is the case for every option: quarterly, yearly or monthly. Each of these subscriptions follows the 11 indexes: SPX, DOW, Nasdaq, RUSSELL, Financials, Real Estate, Energy, Semiconductors, Gold, Silver and Miners.
Institutional Price: $1,000/month per office/location
Individual Investor Pricing Options:
Option 1 a recurring quarterly – 3-month option billed $495 per quarter a $30 savings off the monthly rate. Alphahorn Quarterly Subscription Link
Option 2 is a recurring annual fee of $1,795, a $185 savings off the quarterly rate. Alphahorn Annual Subscription Link. It too provides access to the 11 indexes listed above.
Option 3 is a recurring monthly subscription billed at $175/month with access to the 11 indexes listed above. Alphahorn Monthly Subscription Link
We have been posting our trades since 2011 and have recorded annual returns of 77%, 31%, 62%, .02%, 3.6% and 32%. We consistently outperform many of the top money managers and hedge funds.
You can check out our Alphahorn Swing System examples by clicking on the tab above. You can check out the progression of our Elliott Wave count by clicking on the Big Picture Wave Count and see how we correctly called this bull market from 2011. And you can read what subscribers say about their experience by clicking on the Alpha Testimonials tab, here a snapshot of what you’ll find there:
Join these satisfied subscribers, who have this to say about their experience:
I’ve been a member for 3 years now, in that time, alphahorn has outperformed everyone of my other three trading services. As a member, you won’t find handholding or emotional support here as some services provide, but what you will receive are swing trade advice that is unparallel, bold, and more often than not….counter intuitive to “what everyone else” is doing. Personally, i frequently have difficultly taking a full position based on many of his calls, due to the nature of the trade being in direct conflict with what the main stream are saying. Word of advise from a experienced member….after one receives a trade alert, just login to your account and make the trade as fast as possible….you will be amazed with the results and even more amazed at how successful a trader you can become with this guy in your corner.
Hi alphahorn
Another great year up 40 percent with 2 months to go.
Great calls in November on Bib and cash for qld.
Thanks for expertise.
chris
Hello Alphahorn,
You’re the BEST! I’ve never seen anyone else that comes close. I’m sticking pretty closely to the system and am up over 40% and we’re not even halfway through July. Thanks for another great year and a fantastic 5 year return!!
Chris says: July 10, 2016 at 10:25 am
hi Alphahorn, +25 % ya baby great work that you chris
Bob S:
your the best I’ve ever seen wish I would have found you earlier.
Bill L:
Some unbelievable calls … Keep up the extraordinary work
B:
New to your work. Subscribed and watched for about 6 months. Your system is amazing. Just recently took my first two trades with these signals. Profitable, sensible, low risk, its a pleasure to have found such common sense simple triggers to such complex issues. I’ll be around a long time.
Robert K:
Having found your site a year or so ago, I have been amazed at your ability and, more importantly, discipline to stick with the system through turbulent times and of course, let profits run….which has been my greatest shortcoming.
Springhill Jack author of the excellent blog Channels and Patterns http://www.channelsandpatterns.com/ wrote on 12/19/13:
Alphahorn’s model portfolio moved back into longs near the low last week as Alphahorn tries to beat his 2011 model portfolio return of 75%, though we’ll need a strong move into the end of the year to put him over the top for that as I think he’s only at 65% or so at the moment… Alphahorn suggested an intriguing possibility in a note to his members half an hour before the Fed announcement yesterday and that was that the retracement pattern on SPX might be a falling wedge. The post Fed low almost made it to wedge support and then it broke up to make target shortly afterwords… that was some really slick classical chartwork from Alphahorn that brightened my day.
skih says: 10/17/13:
A congratulatory word of thanks. I’ve only been around a year and quite frankly your work is stunning. I’m here to learn and I’ve profited. Next goal to invest in each or your sector trades. I’ve had my girlfriend and my son join. Working on my daughter now to do the same. Thanks your work is impressive to benefit from and watch and learn.
Springhill Jack author of the excellent blog Channels and Patterns http://www.channelsandpatterns.com/ wrote on 9/16/13:
“The last SPX chart for today is the SPX weekly chart from 2009 against the NYMO. I generally follow the daily but a friend of mine posted a look at this over the weekend and the track record of seeing divergences on the weekly NYMO at significant highs and lows is stronger than I expected, and I’ll be adding this chart to my main daily NYMO chart that I look at for trend reversals. That friend is Alphahorn who runs an excellent subscription service using a mix of momentum and reversal indicators and EW with a model portfolio up 53% so far this year, against 31% in 2012 and 75% in 2011. Very impressive work from one of my favorite chartist.
NOTE: The 10th of the month is an important date. All monthly subscriptions purchased on or before the 10th are treated as a full month. Purchases after the 10th are treated as occurring on the first day of the following month. Therefore, a subscription purchased on the 9th of July ends September 30. But, a subscription purchased on the 11th of July expires October 31st. Subscribers get access to the one of the best educational newsletters available. Subscribers get nightly (Monday-Thursday), weekend and occasional intra-day summaries of the stock market. Proprietary signals: Buy or Sell for 8 indexes: SPX, DOW, NASDAQ, RUSSELL, FINANCIALS, REAL ESTATE, ENERGY, and GOLD.
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Protected: Weekend Update Part 3: A look at precious metals. And, what effect will the news out of China if true have on the market?
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Protected: Weekend Update 2: Hopium for the masses
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Protected: Weekend Update Part 1: The Impact of an Incompetent Fed
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Chart Update
I’m watching the dollar. It has had an incredible run, but it may be tracing out an ending diagonal. Thus far, it is a text book diagonal, but it could also break up from here. A break up would likely lead to new lows for equities and cryptos, a break down a rally.
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Protected: FOMC: The Village Idiot Speaks
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Alphahorn's Market Musings 