YTD Performance 2024: +40% as of 7/17/25
2024 +79%
2023 +57%
2022 -46%
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2019 +27%
2018 +6%
2017 +16.3%
2016 +32%
2015 +3.6%
2014 +.02%;
2013 +61.78%;
2012 +31%;
2011 +77%
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Meta
Trading Rules
Iwill be adding to this section over time as questions come up in the comments section.
1) Do not EMAIL me, or INSTANT MESSAGE me or try to communicate with me in any way asking questions about buying or selling stocks, options, ETFs or anything else…I am not here to give investment advice. This is an educational and entertainment blog. I post my trades and why I trade the way I do for those two purposes. Sometimes you will learn from my good trades other times from my bad trades. But, your investment decisions are YOURS!
2)Stops: These are based upon daily closing prices for ETFs and stock, but are real time for OPTIONS. If peg a stop to a moving average for a specific time frame, then it is fluid and is based upon the final candle for that time frame. For example, if the stop is the 50 MA on the 60 minute chart, then the position remains if the closing candle for the day on the 60 min chart is above the 50 MA on that chart, and it closes out if it is below the MA. However, there are times when one shouldn’t wait for the close: a) should an index break down below a key pivot area that I have highlighted, then one need not wait for the close to exit a position, b) if it is evident that an index will close on the wrong side of a stop, then one can exit. Or, should the indexes impulse in the direction opposite the position.
3) The Portfolio at times will trade against the Alphahorn Swing System, based upon either immediate term indicators and/or Elliott wave counts. These positions should be viewed as high risk entries and like all investment decisions, one should consult their investment advisors and/or consider one’s own risk tolerance before considering such positions. Like everything else on this site, these are not recommendations to trade any particular security.
4) Do not ask me what my indicators are. I’ve spent years developing them and they are proprietary.
5) Averaging Down: In a word – DON’T! NEVER EVER AVERAGE DOWN. If you follow the position sizing rule above then this rule should be implied automatically. Once you’ve invested 2% of you capital your have reached the limit and NO MORE CAPITAL IS TO BE COMMITTED TO THAT POSITION!
IMPORTANT NOTICE
The content on this blog (Alphahorn.wordpress.com) is provided as information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All site content, including advertisements, shall not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument, or to participate in any particular trading or investment strategy. The ideas expressed on this site are solely the opinions of the author (Alphahorn) and are for entertainment purposes only. Alphahorn is not a licensed investment advisor or commodity trading adviser nor is he licensed as such with any federal or state regulatory agency. Alphahorn does not manage client assets in any way. Any investment decision that results in losses or gains made based on any information on this site is not the responsibility of Alphahorn. Alphahorn may make statements about certain investment vehicles and strategies, but it is not to be taken as investment advice. I provide an educational service, not an advisory or stock recommendation service. At times, Alphahorn will analyze the technical structure (chart) of various stocks or financial markets, but he is in no way compensated by the companies he analyzes either in reports or daily commentaries. All examples are provided for educational purposes.
Tag Archives: spx
Thursday Update
Gold triggered another sell/short Alert today. Otherwise, all indexes we cover are on long/buy Alphahorn Swing Signals. Both the ultra-bullish wave count shown up top and the more mature count below it call for a good deal of upside before … Continue reading
Near Term Swing Top at Hand: Will the drop be 400-600 points or 1,000+ for the SPX? Which count, if either,do you prefer?
Vote here: View Poll View Poll I’ve been favoring two potential Elliott Wave Counts for the SPY/SPX. The count shown on the SPY chart below is calling for a more modest pullback. This count presumes intermediate waves (1) and (2) are already … Continue reading
MSTR Trade Set-up
Like TSLA, MSTR has seen a deep retracement. Also, like TSLA, MSTR has a nice long set-up where the pullback is a perfect abc where a=c in length.
TSLA Trade Set-up
TSLA has been taken behind the wood shed; but, a possible long trade set-up is available. This pullback clearly looks corrective. And, it appears to be a perfect W,X,Y,X,Z move down. W and Y were of equal length. Now, Z … Continue reading
Year End Review Part II: Up 57.4%, ~$879,000
NOTE: A NEW PASSWORD WAS SENT OUT FOR JANUARY 2024, please check your emails and let me know if you didn’t receive it. Happy New Year to all my subscribers and to any who might be considering subscribing. For those … Continue reading
Weekend Update Part 1: Quick view of Bitcoin and Ethereum updated wave counts
Most traders have been frustrated with the sideways choppy action that both Bitcoin and Ethereum have been experiencing over the past six months now. But this is just the type of market that I took advantage of to build my … Continue reading
A quick look at the close correlation between the Nasdaq and Bitcoin. What’s next for the risk trade?
It has been widely discussed that Bitcoin has a close correlation to the Nasdaq. At this stage of its market acceptance, BTC is viewed by many institutions as a risk on asset and they trade it accordingly. Although, it is … Continue reading
OH NO, IS THE BITCOIN SKY FALLING AGAIN??????!!! IN A WORD – NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Time will tell whether or not I’ve been the lone technical analyst to have called the BItcoin bottom immediately when it occurred, or am I just a foolish, overly bullish Elliott Wave technician who blindly missed other technical details that … Continue reading
Thanksgiving Update Part 2: The SPX
I believe we have reached a key inflection point for the major equity indexes. There has been a tremendous recovery since the Spring sell-off. The markets have reached over bought levels and a much needed pullback should be seen in … Continue reading
Happy Thanksgiving! Mega Chart Day Update 1 – The Nasdaq
I’ve been up since about 3:30 looking at charts and doing a deep dive and here’s what I’ve found. I’m starting with a look at the way over bought Nasdaq. I have two wave count options for the Nasdaq. Both … Continue reading