YTD Performance as of 4/4/23: +16%
2022 -46%
2021 +36%
2020 +40%
2019 +27%
2018 return 6%
2017 return 16.3%
2016 return: +32%
2015 return: +3.6%
2014 return +.02%;
2013 return: +61.78%;
2012 retun: +31%;
2011 return: +77%
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Meta
Trading Rules
Iwill be adding to this section over time as questions come up in the comments section.
1) Do not EMAIL me, or INSTANT MESSAGE me or try to communicate with me in any way asking questions about buying or selling stocks, options, ETFs or anything else…I am not here to give investment advice. This is an educational and entertainment blog. I post my trades and why I trade the way I do for those two purposes. Sometimes you will learn from my good trades other times from my bad trades. But, your investment decisions are YOURS!
2)Stops: These are based upon daily closing prices for ETFs and stock, but are real time for OPTIONS. If peg a stop to a moving average for a specific time frame, then it is fluid and is based upon the final candle for that time frame. For example, if the stop is the 50 MA on the 60 minute chart, then the position remains if the closing candle for the day on the 60 min chart is above the 50 MA on that chart, and it closes out if it is below the MA. However, there are times when one shouldn’t wait for the close: a) should an index break down below a key pivot area that I have highlighted, then one need not wait for the close to exit a position, b) if it is evident that an index will close on the wrong side of a stop, then one can exit. Or, should the indexes impulse in the direction opposite the position.
3) The Portfolio at times will trade against the Alphahorn Swing System, based upon either immediate term indicators and/or Elliott wave counts. These positions should be viewed as high risk entries and like all investment decisions, one should consult their investment advisors and/or consider one’s own risk tolerance before considering such positions. Like everything else on this site, these are not recommendations to trade any particular security.
4) Do not ask me what my indicators are. I’ve spent years developing them and they are proprietary.
5) Averaging Down: In a word – DON’T! NEVER EVER AVERAGE DOWN. If you follow the position sizing rule above then this rule should be implied automatically. Once you’ve invested 2% of you capital your have reached the limit and NO MORE CAPITAL IS TO BE COMMITTED TO THAT POSITION!
IMPORTANT NOTICE
The content on this blog (Alphahorn.wordpress.com) is provided as information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All site content, including advertisements, shall not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument, or to participate in any particular trading or investment strategy. The ideas expressed on this site are solely the opinions of the author (Alphahorn) and are for entertainment purposes only. Alphahorn is not a licensed investment advisor or commodity trading adviser nor is he licensed as such with any federal or state regulatory agency. Alphahorn does not manage client assets in any way. Any investment decision that results in losses or gains made based on any information on this site is not the responsibility of Alphahorn. Alphahorn may make statements about certain investment vehicles and strategies, but it is not to be taken as investment advice. I provide an educational service, not an advisory or stock recommendation service. At times, Alphahorn will analyze the technical structure (chart) of various stocks or financial markets, but he is in no way compensated by the companies he analyzes either in reports or daily commentaries. All examples are provided for educational purposes.Thank you donation
Tag Archives: cryptos
Bitcoin cup and handle on its way to confirmation – target 76,000!
Bitcoin continues on course per our wave count and forecast. This was about the only site to correctly call the BTC bottom. We pointed out that BTC did exactly what we expected it to do finding support at the wave … Continue reading
Bitcoin and Ethereum Update: It’s Time for the Next Big Leg Up to Begin!
I’ve previously posted projections and price targets for both Bitcoin and Ethereum. I looked at the brief history of these two assets and found a very interesting characteristic common to both BTC and ETH from an Elliott Wave perspective. You … Continue reading
Intermediate wave (5) of primary wave [3] Bitcoin Price Projection
As promised, here is my Bitcoin price projection for intermediate wave (5) of primary wave [3]. Over the weekend, I posted my price projection for Ethereum https://alphahorn.com/2021/07/04/happy-4th-of-july-are-we-on-the-verge-of-some-crypto-fireworks-ethereum-update-and-my-outlandish-prediction-for-the-next-wave-up/, and as promised here is my projection for Bitcoin. As I noted in … Continue reading
Happy 4th of July. Are we on the verge of some crypto fireworks?! Ethereum Update and my outlandish prediction for the next wave up.
This will we the first part of a two part update. I will look at BTC later. Let us begin with a look at Ethereum. But before I begin, I want to make a general statement about Cryptos and Elliott … Continue reading
Bitcoin Update
Intermediate wave (4) of primary wave [3] is in the books and now what has historically been the most aggressive wave, intermediate wave (5) is underway. This wave will be made up of five minor waves: 1,2,3,4,5. I expect minor … Continue reading
OH NO, IS THE BITCOIN SKY FALLING AGAIN??????!!! IN A WORD – NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Time will tell whether or not I’ve been the lone technical analyst to have called the BItcoin bottom immediately when it occurred, or am I just a foolish, overly bullish Elliott Wave technician who blindly missed other technical details that … Continue reading
Bitcoin Update and Possible Roadmap to New High
While it seems the rest of the crypto universe has/had gone extremely bearish on BTC, I called the ~30K low as THE LOW for this pullback the minute it happened; if you haven’t read this post, then I encourage you … Continue reading
Bitcoin Update
We went long BTC/USD back at 8819 on May 2nd and are up now over 100% on this trade. While I have no plans to exit the trade, I do expect to see what might be the last great buying … Continue reading
New CryptoCurrency Blog
I’ve started a new blog covering cryptocurrencies. I’ll be providing Elliott Wave and Technical Analysis the leading cryptocurrencies and alternative coins. If you’re interested check it out http://www.alphahorncrypto.wordpress.com