YTD Performance as of 4/4/23: +16%
2022 -46%
2021 +36%
2020 +40%
2019 +27%
2018 return 6%
2017 return 16.3%
2016 return: +32%
2015 return: +3.6%
2014 return +.02%;
2013 return: +61.78%;
2012 retun: +31%;
2011 return: +77%
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Trading Rules
Iwill be adding to this section over time as questions come up in the comments section.
1) Do not EMAIL me, or INSTANT MESSAGE me or try to communicate with me in any way asking questions about buying or selling stocks, options, ETFs or anything else…I am not here to give investment advice. This is an educational and entertainment blog. I post my trades and why I trade the way I do for those two purposes. Sometimes you will learn from my good trades other times from my bad trades. But, your investment decisions are YOURS!
2)Stops: These are based upon daily closing prices for ETFs and stock, but are real time for OPTIONS. If peg a stop to a moving average for a specific time frame, then it is fluid and is based upon the final candle for that time frame. For example, if the stop is the 50 MA on the 60 minute chart, then the position remains if the closing candle for the day on the 60 min chart is above the 50 MA on that chart, and it closes out if it is below the MA. However, there are times when one shouldn’t wait for the close: a) should an index break down below a key pivot area that I have highlighted, then one need not wait for the close to exit a position, b) if it is evident that an index will close on the wrong side of a stop, then one can exit. Or, should the indexes impulse in the direction opposite the position.
3) The Portfolio at times will trade against the Alphahorn Swing System, based upon either immediate term indicators and/or Elliott wave counts. These positions should be viewed as high risk entries and like all investment decisions, one should consult their investment advisors and/or consider one’s own risk tolerance before considering such positions. Like everything else on this site, these are not recommendations to trade any particular security.
4) Do not ask me what my indicators are. I’ve spent years developing them and they are proprietary.
5) Averaging Down: In a word – DON’T! NEVER EVER AVERAGE DOWN. If you follow the position sizing rule above then this rule should be implied automatically. Once you’ve invested 2% of you capital your have reached the limit and NO MORE CAPITAL IS TO BE COMMITTED TO THAT POSITION!
IMPORTANT NOTICE
The content on this blog (Alphahorn.wordpress.com) is provided as information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All site content, including advertisements, shall not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument, or to participate in any particular trading or investment strategy. The ideas expressed on this site are solely the opinions of the author (Alphahorn) and are for entertainment purposes only. Alphahorn is not a licensed investment advisor or commodity trading adviser nor is he licensed as such with any federal or state regulatory agency. Alphahorn does not manage client assets in any way. Any investment decision that results in losses or gains made based on any information on this site is not the responsibility of Alphahorn. Alphahorn may make statements about certain investment vehicles and strategies, but it is not to be taken as investment advice. I provide an educational service, not an advisory or stock recommendation service. At times, Alphahorn will analyze the technical structure (chart) of various stocks or financial markets, but he is in no way compensated by the companies he analyzes either in reports or daily commentaries. All examples are provided for educational purposes.Thank you donation
Tag Archives: bitcoin
It took awhile, but BTC finally reached its target
Once the 38.2% retracement fell for BTC, then all eyes were on the 50% retracement level of its move up in minuette wave (i) of minute wave [iii] of minor wave 3. BTC is within a hundred points or so … Continue reading
Updated Bitcoin Wave Count
I’m showing a new wave count for BTC that channels well and predicts a very nice intermediate wave (1) high at the previous all-time high. In spite of this count’s deep wave [iv] retracement, this count obeys all EW rules. … Continue reading
Bitcoin Big Picture Chart
Once again here is my Bitcoin wave count and my projection(s) for primary wave [3]’s possible targets. I did a much deeper dive into this, which can be found here: https://wordpress.com/post/alphahorn.com/62361. You here a lot of people talk about bitcoin … Continue reading
Bitcoin cup and handle on its way to confirmation – target 76,000!
Bitcoin continues on course per our wave count and forecast. This was about the only site to correctly call the BTC bottom. We pointed out that BTC did exactly what we expected it to do finding support at the wave … Continue reading
Bitcoin and Ethereum Update: It’s Time for the Next Big Leg Up to Begin!
I’ve previously posted projections and price targets for both Bitcoin and Ethereum. I looked at the brief history of these two assets and found a very interesting characteristic common to both BTC and ETH from an Elliott Wave perspective. You … Continue reading
Bitcoin vs Gold: Which should you be holding?
The weekly chart above shows the ratio of Bitcoin’s price to the price of gold. After a massive move up by BTC in the second half of 2020 into the first quarter of 2021, BTC has corrected both in terms … Continue reading
Important Bitcoin and Ethereum Update
With about 30 minutes until the weekly close, both Bitcoin and Ethereum are set to print bullish engulfing weekly candles. This plays perfectly in line with our July 19th call that the pullback was ending. Next up we should see … Continue reading
Bitcoin Update: Target near 27K
Once again a potential ending diagonal has been forming for BTC. An ending diagonal marked the end of the last leg up and now could be pointing to the end of this couple of month pullback. The lower trend line … Continue reading
Bitcoin loves its ending diagonals! Will this pullback end soon?
The bull market run to 64k ended with a text book ending diagonal. In Elliott Wave terms. That ending diagonal traced out minor wave 5,the final wave, of intermediate wave (3) or primary wave [3] per my wave count. What … Continue reading
Intermediate wave (5) of primary wave [3] Bitcoin Price Projection
As promised, here is my Bitcoin price projection for intermediate wave (5) of primary wave [3]. Over the weekend, I posted my price projection for Ethereum https://alphahorn.com/2021/07/04/happy-4th-of-july-are-we-on-the-verge-of-some-crypto-fireworks-ethereum-update-and-my-outlandish-prediction-for-the-next-wave-up/, and as promised here is my projection for Bitcoin. As I noted in … Continue reading