YTD Performance as of 4/4/23: +16%
2022 -46%
2021 +36%
2020 +40%
2019 +27%
2018 return 6%
2017 return 16.3%
2016 return: +32%
2015 return: +3.6%
2014 return +.02%;
2013 return: +61.78%;
2012 retun: +31%;
2011 return: +77%
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Meta
Trading Rules
Iwill be adding to this section over time as questions come up in the comments section.
1) Do not EMAIL me, or INSTANT MESSAGE me or try to communicate with me in any way asking questions about buying or selling stocks, options, ETFs or anything else…I am not here to give investment advice. This is an educational and entertainment blog. I post my trades and why I trade the way I do for those two purposes. Sometimes you will learn from my good trades other times from my bad trades. But, your investment decisions are YOURS!
2)Stops: These are based upon daily closing prices for ETFs and stock, but are real time for OPTIONS. If peg a stop to a moving average for a specific time frame, then it is fluid and is based upon the final candle for that time frame. For example, if the stop is the 50 MA on the 60 minute chart, then the position remains if the closing candle for the day on the 60 min chart is above the 50 MA on that chart, and it closes out if it is below the MA. However, there are times when one shouldn’t wait for the close: a) should an index break down below a key pivot area that I have highlighted, then one need not wait for the close to exit a position, b) if it is evident that an index will close on the wrong side of a stop, then one can exit. Or, should the indexes impulse in the direction opposite the position.
3) The Portfolio at times will trade against the Alphahorn Swing System, based upon either immediate term indicators and/or Elliott wave counts. These positions should be viewed as high risk entries and like all investment decisions, one should consult their investment advisors and/or consider one’s own risk tolerance before considering such positions. Like everything else on this site, these are not recommendations to trade any particular security.
4) Do not ask me what my indicators are. I’ve spent years developing them and they are proprietary.
5) Averaging Down: In a word – DON’T! NEVER EVER AVERAGE DOWN. If you follow the position sizing rule above then this rule should be implied automatically. Once you’ve invested 2% of you capital your have reached the limit and NO MORE CAPITAL IS TO BE COMMITTED TO THAT POSITION!
IMPORTANT NOTICE
The content on this blog (Alphahorn.wordpress.com) is provided as information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All site content, including advertisements, shall not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument, or to participate in any particular trading or investment strategy. The ideas expressed on this site are solely the opinions of the author (Alphahorn) and are for entertainment purposes only. Alphahorn is not a licensed investment advisor or commodity trading adviser nor is he licensed as such with any federal or state regulatory agency. Alphahorn does not manage client assets in any way. Any investment decision that results in losses or gains made based on any information on this site is not the responsibility of Alphahorn. Alphahorn may make statements about certain investment vehicles and strategies, but it is not to be taken as investment advice. I provide an educational service, not an advisory or stock recommendation service. At times, Alphahorn will analyze the technical structure (chart) of various stocks or financial markets, but he is in no way compensated by the companies he analyzes either in reports or daily commentaries. All examples are provided for educational purposes.Thank you donation
Tag Archives: technical analysis
It took awhile, but BTC finally reached its target
Once the 38.2% retracement fell for BTC, then all eyes were on the 50% retracement level of its move up in minuette wave (i) of minute wave [iii] of minor wave 3. BTC is within a hundred points or so … Continue reading
Updated Bitcoin Wave Count
I’m showing a new wave count for BTC that channels well and predicts a very nice intermediate wave (1) high at the previous all-time high. In spite of this count’s deep wave [iv] retracement, this count obeys all EW rules. … Continue reading
A quick look at the close correlation between the Nasdaq and Bitcoin. What’s next for the risk trade?
It has been widely discussed that Bitcoin has a close correlation to the Nasdaq. At this stage of its market acceptance, BTC is viewed by many institutions as a risk on asset and they trade it accordingly. Although, it is … Continue reading
Bitcoin Big Picture Chart
Once again here is my Bitcoin wave count and my projection(s) for primary wave [3]’s possible targets. I did a much deeper dive into this, which can be found here: https://wordpress.com/post/alphahorn.com/62361. You here a lot of people talk about bitcoin … Continue reading
Bitcoin and Ethereum Update: It’s Time for the Next Big Leg Up to Begin!
I’ve previously posted projections and price targets for both Bitcoin and Ethereum. I looked at the brief history of these two assets and found a very interesting characteristic common to both BTC and ETH from an Elliott Wave perspective. You … Continue reading
Intermediate wave (5) of primary wave [3] Bitcoin Price Projection
As promised, here is my Bitcoin price projection for intermediate wave (5) of primary wave [3]. Over the weekend, I posted my price projection for Ethereum https://alphahorn.com/2021/07/04/happy-4th-of-july-are-we-on-the-verge-of-some-crypto-fireworks-ethereum-update-and-my-outlandish-prediction-for-the-next-wave-up/, and as promised here is my projection for Bitcoin. As I noted in … Continue reading
OH NO, IS THE BITCOIN SKY FALLING AGAIN??????!!! IN A WORD – NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Time will tell whether or not I’ve been the lone technical analyst to have called the BItcoin bottom immediately when it occurred, or am I just a foolish, overly bullish Elliott Wave technician who blindly missed other technical details that … Continue reading
Bitcoin Update and Possible Roadmap to New High
While it seems the rest of the crypto universe has/had gone extremely bearish on BTC, I called the ~30K low as THE LOW for this pullback the minute it happened; if you haven’t read this post, then I encourage you … Continue reading
Happy Thanksgiving! Mega Chart Day Update 1 – The Nasdaq
I’ve been up since about 3:30 looking at charts and doing a deep dive and here’s what I’ve found. I’m starting with a look at the way over bought Nasdaq. I have two wave count options for the Nasdaq. Both … Continue reading
Bring on 2020. 2019 another great year at alphahorn.com. Portfolio value has grown from $100,000 at inception 12/2010, to just over $800,000 as we head into 2020.
If you’re looking for a dependable swing trading system, or the tools to help you manage your retirement account, or if you run or operate a hedge fund and are interested in what have been the most accurate Elliott Wave … Continue reading