YTD Performance as of 4/4/23: +16%
2022 -46%
2021 +36%
2020 +40%
2019 +27%
2018 return 6%
2017 return 16.3%
2016 return: +32%
2015 return: +3.6%
2014 return +.02%;
2013 return: +61.78%;
2012 retun: +31%;
2011 return: +77%
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Meta
Trading Rules
Iwill be adding to this section over time as questions come up in the comments section.
1) Do not EMAIL me, or INSTANT MESSAGE me or try to communicate with me in any way asking questions about buying or selling stocks, options, ETFs or anything else…I am not here to give investment advice. This is an educational and entertainment blog. I post my trades and why I trade the way I do for those two purposes. Sometimes you will learn from my good trades other times from my bad trades. But, your investment decisions are YOURS!
2)Stops: These are based upon daily closing prices for ETFs and stock, but are real time for OPTIONS. If peg a stop to a moving average for a specific time frame, then it is fluid and is based upon the final candle for that time frame. For example, if the stop is the 50 MA on the 60 minute chart, then the position remains if the closing candle for the day on the 60 min chart is above the 50 MA on that chart, and it closes out if it is below the MA. However, there are times when one shouldn’t wait for the close: a) should an index break down below a key pivot area that I have highlighted, then one need not wait for the close to exit a position, b) if it is evident that an index will close on the wrong side of a stop, then one can exit. Or, should the indexes impulse in the direction opposite the position.
3) The Portfolio at times will trade against the Alphahorn Swing System, based upon either immediate term indicators and/or Elliott wave counts. These positions should be viewed as high risk entries and like all investment decisions, one should consult their investment advisors and/or consider one’s own risk tolerance before considering such positions. Like everything else on this site, these are not recommendations to trade any particular security.
4) Do not ask me what my indicators are. I’ve spent years developing them and they are proprietary.
5) Averaging Down: In a word – DON’T! NEVER EVER AVERAGE DOWN. If you follow the position sizing rule above then this rule should be implied automatically. Once you’ve invested 2% of you capital your have reached the limit and NO MORE CAPITAL IS TO BE COMMITTED TO THAT POSITION!
IMPORTANT NOTICE
The content on this blog (Alphahorn.wordpress.com) is provided as information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All site content, including advertisements, shall not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument, or to participate in any particular trading or investment strategy. The ideas expressed on this site are solely the opinions of the author (Alphahorn) and are for entertainment purposes only. Alphahorn is not a licensed investment advisor or commodity trading adviser nor is he licensed as such with any federal or state regulatory agency. Alphahorn does not manage client assets in any way. Any investment decision that results in losses or gains made based on any information on this site is not the responsibility of Alphahorn. Alphahorn may make statements about certain investment vehicles and strategies, but it is not to be taken as investment advice. I provide an educational service, not an advisory or stock recommendation service. At times, Alphahorn will analyze the technical structure (chart) of various stocks or financial markets, but he is in no way compensated by the companies he analyzes either in reports or daily commentaries. All examples are provided for educational purposes.Thank you donation
Tag Archives: technical analysis
All those “TOP” callers are wrong again!
I was talking to a friend who is an arb guy at a fairly large hedge fund this week and he said they were praying they could climb over 10% returns for 2019 so they could qualify for their bonuses. … Continue reading
2250 or 2400+ Where will this bull market end?
The more individual names I look at, the more bullish the equity market looks. I’ve been showing two variations of my wave count, the more conservative option looks for a top around 2225-2250, the more bullish alternative looks to the … Continue reading
Protected: June 1st Update
There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.
Weekend Update and Chart Extravaganza
No changes from Friday’s action all indexes remain on long/buy signals. Corn had a bad day and is worth watching for a possible swing change. Currently, there are no Alerts. No changes for the EW counts on the 30 min … Continue reading
This Chart Told Us All We Needed To Know!
I’ve been posting this chart off and on for several months as the top process was playing out. I called the top of primary wave [3] via an ending diagonal back in May, way ahead of anyone else (I posted … Continue reading
Public Post: Big Picture Elliott Wave Counts – SPX, DOW, Nasdaq and RUT
Part of what we do here is Elliott Wave analysis; it is used to compliment the Alphahorn Swing System. From time to time, I update the SPX chart under its own tab on this blog. Today, I thought I’d share … Continue reading
Weekend Update
One small change for the Alphahorn Swing System as Gold is on a buy/long Alert and needs a print above Thursday’s high of GLD $118.26 to confirm. Real Estate remains the only long/buy signal, though it is on a sell/short … Continue reading
Weekend Update
One signal change and one new Alert for the Alphahorn Swing System. The signal change is for the DOW as the DIA closed below its stop price of $160.78 confirming the taking of profits for UDOW and the entering into … Continue reading
Protected: Weekend Update
There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.
Chart Update possible roadmap
Looking ahead at the rest of the week we could get an idea of which count is in play by the size of the bullish falling wedge that develops. If the bullish count that intermediate wave (4) is tracing out … Continue reading